For the Russian intelligence services in their various forms,
Target United States is enticing and
soft, though at the same time operationally, too enticing, too soft. It may be
hard to grasp, but while it is exceptionally easy to penetrate the American
political apparat, the same does not apply to the U.S. security structure.
Nonetheless, one can be assured the Russian services work hard to redress this
imbalance.
Their broader aim is eventually to turn their access to
the U.S. political scene into a device relative to security matters. This
requires a forceful development of political entree in such a manner as to
arrange this access into the higher priority security targeting. To follow this
intelligence thought process, one must first begin with the point of entry, the
initial penetration vulnerability.
From a Russian analytical perspective, the American
civilian structure is built on a strong ethos to succeed personally that can
take many forms, but remains essential to the American character. This is
particularly true in the business and political spheres. Thus, if one desires
to influence and/or gain advantage from either field, benefits must be made
available to selected individuals. These advantages can be either material,
such as valuable gifts, or simply cash carefully concealed as payment for a
legal service. The action in itself may not be overtly corrupt, and it is
essential it does not appear so. Some form of cover story would usually be
required. This is nothing new and has been going on for years. The United
States is not the only country in which this system works. It is just that it
is a method of influencing decisions much utilized by foreign governments and
their agents. The question as to whether this is buying assistance or just
renting it is irrelevant.
In more specific terms, American businessmen who already
have developed domestic political contacts are prime targets for foreign
intelligence development. This has been particularly true with the Russians. Of
course the businessmen on their own are looking for economic advantages. From
an intelligence standpoint it is a traditional point of leverage and assistance
both in terms of information gathering as well as political action taking.
Obviously, American businesses that have a
commercial/financial interest in Russia – or China – are of particular
importance to the respective security services. In turn, individuals in these
firms will be evaluated and if chosen, targeted for possible utilization and
eventual recruitment. However, the targeted subject may be quite unaware of
their status as a person of possible intelligence utility. The decision to
utilize the target in a witting or unwitting capacity depends on the specific
operational needs and the suitability of the ''candidate''. In any case, the issue is situation
determinant.
Of course, this does not mean that all individuals with
business interests and connections with Russia or China are useful targets of
opportunity. The circumstances that place one possible candidate above another
in prority have to do with such things as technical background, political connections
and even possible military/intel security access - even if tangential. In other
words, from an intelligence standpoint the real problem is selecting those of
interesting potential and subsequently ''developing'' them accordingly.
Perhaps the easiest targets are those individuals of the
academic professions. The Chinese have been particularly adept in penetrating
the Western (particularly U.S.) academic community. Nonetheless, the Russians
have had a long-term interest and involvement with elements of the scientific
and technological ranks. While most attention is drawn publicly to writers and
journalists who appear particularly liberal in their views, their utility is
limited to the field of political affairs. This is far less important in
intellligence terms than the more specialized fields.
One of the higher priorities is individuals and
instruments that may create an opening to intelligence and security services.
These are pursued with far greater subtlety and long-term development. In years
past, political sympathies could be played upon, but that has tended to change
toward more financially advantageous inducement. This latter situation can be
viewed as more vulnerable to exposure and eventually counter action – and that
is well understood by all concerned.
Ultimately, the United States is a truly enticing target.
As recent publicized cases have revealed, however, the American security operations
work hard to track and penetrate
opposition activities on both a technical and ''humint'' basis.
The covert war in
the late nineteenth century between the British Raj in India and Imperial
Russia for domination of the region was well characterized by Rudyard Kipling
as The Great Game. Another Great Game differently sited and structured exists
today. It is nonetheless challenging, for it is closer to home.
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